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Alerts
Will the Democratic Party control the House… 92.5¢ +1.0 · Will the Republican Party control the House… 7.5¢ -1.0 · Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Nemiga (BO3) -… 70¢ — · Will there be no change in Fed interest rates… 22¢ +2.0 · Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps… 77¢ — · 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House 6.5¢ -1.0 · 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House 67¢ +1.0 · Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through… 96.8¢ +1.4 · US x Iran ceasefire continues through November… 82¢ +9.0 · Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+… 2.4¢ -0.1 · Will the Republican Party control the Senate… 33¢ -1.0 · US x Iran ceasefire continues through October… 96.5¢ +1.0 · Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race… 32¢ -1.0 · Xi Jinping out before 2027? 3.4¢ -0.6 ·

POLYFROG.

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Biggest movers 24h

Tech
Will any other model be the best AI model on November 2, 2026?
93.5¢+86.6¢
Tech
Will gemini-4-argon-high be the best AI model on November 2, 2026?
6.3¢-86.2¢
Tech
Will Google be the second-best AI Agent Lab at the end of October 2026?
84¢+81.3¢
Tech
Will OpenAI be the second-best AI Agent Lab at the end of October 2026?
13¢-79.5¢
Weather
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 17°C on October 29?
94¢+53.0¢
Sports
Will Damian Lillard lead the NBA in Player Efficiency Rating (PER) in 2026-27?
50¢+47.3¢
Sports
Will Michael Badgley finish as a top-5 K in the 2026-27 NFL season?
50¢+46.9¢

Resolving soon

Crypto
Ethereum above 2,250 on October 29, 5AM ET?
50¢
Crypto
Bitcoin above 80,800 on October 29, 5AM ET?
50¢
Crypto
Ethereum above 2,390 on October 29, 5AM ET?
50¢
Crypto
Bitcoin above 80,600 on October 29, 5AM ET?
50¢
Crypto
Bitcoin above 79,800 on October 29, 5AM ET?
50¢
Crypto
Bitcoin above 80,400 on October 29, 5AM ET?
50¢
Crypto
Bitcoin above 78,600 on October 29, 5AM ET?
50¢

Big trades sizes only

Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Nemiga (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Playoffs
70¢ · Profit if right $4.7K · Return if right 43%
Buy FUT Esports$10.9K
Will Trump say "Two Percent" during his Midterm Rally in Lubbock, Texas?
99.9¢ · Profit if right $30 · Return if right 0%
Buy Yes$30.0K
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
99.3¢ · Profit if right $119 · Return if right 1%
Buy Yes$16.9K
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
99.3¢
Sell Yes$21.8K
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
93¢ · Profit if right $775 · Return if right 8%
Buy Yes$10.3K
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
99.4¢ · Profit if right $598 · Return if right 1%
Buy Yes$99.1K
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
99.4¢
Sell Yes$104.9K

Money flow big-trade dollars, 24h

Exclude sports

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
83 · $4.14M
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs LYON - Game 1 Winner
104 · $2.44M
Heat vs. Hawks
64 · $2.25M
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
41 · $2.25M
Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs Movistar KOI (+1.5)
77 · $1.89M
Lakers vs. Clippers
73 · $1.80M
Spread: Timberwolves (-3.5)
53 · $1.76M
Magic vs. Raptors
22 · $1.74M

Biggest trade today

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?
BUY · 99.7¢ · $788.9K

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