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Geopolitics markets

PolyFrog lists public Polymarket markets classified as geopolitics. Prices and volume come from Polymarket’s public data. Nothing here is a recommendation.

Related: PoliticsEconomyElections · Methodology

MarketPrice24h24h volEnds
Geopolitics
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?
96.8¢+2.4¢$361.5K2026-10-31
Geopolitics
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?
82¢+8.0¢$312.8K2026-11-09
Geopolitics
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?
96.5¢+2.0¢$274.7K2026-10-31
Geopolitics
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
19¢—$122.6K2027-01-01
Geopolitics
US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?
93.5¢+4.0¢$94.1K2026-11-04
Geopolitics
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
12¢—$75.0K2027-01-01
Geopolitics
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?
35¢+1.0¢$51.6K2026-12-31
Geopolitics
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?
40¢+5.3¢$41.7K2027-01-01
Geopolitics
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by March 31, 2027?
36¢+0.5¢$39.5K2027-04-01
Geopolitics
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?
57¢+8.0¢$35.7K2026-11-16
Geopolitics
Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026?
68¢+2.6¢$33.1K2027-01-01
Geopolitics
Total Internet Blackout in Iran by December 31, 2026?
73¢-2.0¢$31.6K2026-12-31
Geopolitics
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 30?
23¢+1.5¢$31.4K2026-12-01
Geopolitics
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026?
21¢-2.0¢$31.3K2026-12-01
Geopolitics
Will Hesai be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?
19¢+0.5¢$29.9K2027-07-01
Geopolitics
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?
39¢+2.0¢$28.6K2026-11-30
Geopolitics
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?
66¢+3.0¢$27.8K2026-11-16
Geopolitics
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?
52¢-6.0¢$27.4K2026-11-30
Geopolitics
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?
9.5¢—$25.6K2027-01-01
Geopolitics
US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?
28¢+1.5¢$22.1K2026-12-31
Geopolitics
Will there be no Hormuz agreement?
93.8¢-0.5¢$20.0K2026-11-04
Geopolitics
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?
7.5¢-2.5¢$18.5K2027-01-01
Geopolitics
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by December 31?
30¢+4.0¢$18.3K2027-01-01
Geopolitics
Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026?
4¢-0.5¢$15.7K2027-01-01
Geopolitics
Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 31?
17¢+4.0¢$15.6K2026-10-31

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