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Amazon 2026 capex above $190B?

Ends · 24h vol $0 · liquidity $489
Yes 96.1¢No 3.9¢
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Price Yes

Price history is unavailable for this market right now.

FROG CHECK

Spread6.2¢bid 93¢ / ask 99.2¢
Taker fee$0.03on $100 · finance rate 0.04 · makers $0
Maker rewardsMin 20 shquotes within 6.5¢ of mid qualify
DisputeNo proposalUMA bond $500 · reward $5
Liquidity$48924h vol $0

Cost to fill (buy Yes, walking the live ask book)

Swipe for slippage, fee, and whether the book fills.

SpendSharesAvg priceSlippageEst. taker feeBook
$10010199.3¢+0.08¢$0.03fills
$1,0001,00399.7¢+0.51¢$0.12fills
$10,0002,81199.8¢+0.63¢$0.19partial

Order book Yes · latest

99.9¢2,250
99.8¢217
99.7¢57
99.4¢167
99.3¢100
99.2¢19
spread 6.2¢ · mid 96.1¢
93¢25
88¢20
83¢10
83¢100
82¢280
82¢33
60¢50

Market read

Yes is 96.1¢. No is 3.9¢. No large print for this market is in the latest refresh. How it resolves is in the rules text below, from Polymarket.

OutcomePrice
Yes96.1¢Trade on Polymarket
No3.9¢Trade on Polymarket

Both links open this event. PolyFrog does not send a separate outcome order.

Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Amazon's Purchases of Property and Equipment (capital expenditures) for the full year of 2026, as reported in its official company earnings materials for the fourth fiscal quarter of 2026, is above the listed amount. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered. If the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified period are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to "No". If the specified company does not release earnings materials for the fourth fiscal quarter of 2026 by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market. The resolution source for this market is Amazon's official company earnings materials for the fourth fiscal quarter of 2026, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings (including the Annual Report on Form 10-K). If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used. Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials. Capital expenditures are defined as purchases of property and equipment as reported in Amazon's consolidated statements of cash flows under investing activities, consistent with how Amazon has historically disclosed this figure. Alternate metrics that differ in definition or scope will not be considered.

UMA status: no proposal.

Related markets

96.2¢-0.1¢

Big trades here sizes only

No large prints for this market in the latest refresh.