Another Fed rate hike in 2026?
Price Yes
Price history is unavailable for this market right now.
FROG CHECK
Cost to fill (buy Yes, walking the live ask book)
Swipe for slippage, fee, and whether the book fills.
| Spend | Shares | Avg price | Slippage | Est. taker fee | Book |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $100 | 128 | 78¢ | +0.00¢ | $1.10 | fills |
| $1,000 | 1,282 | 78¢ | +0.00¢ | $11.00 | fills |
| $10,000 | 12,821 | 78¢ | +0.00¢ | $110.00 | fills |
Order book Yes · latest
Market read
Yes is 78¢. No is 22¢. No large print for this market is in the latest refresh. How it resolves is in the rules text below, from Polymarket.
| Outcome | Price | |
|---|---|---|
| Yes | 78¢ | Trade on Polymarket |
| No | 22¢ | Trade on Polymarket |
Both links open this event. PolyFrog does not send a separate outcome order.
Rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between September 17, 2026 and the completion of the Fed's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 8 to 9, 2026, inclusive of any rate hike announced as a result of the December meeting. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Any change to the target federal funds rate announced at the conclusion of the September 15 to 16, 2026 FOMC meeting will not count toward this market. Emergency rate hikes announced on or after September 17, 2026 will qualify. This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution source: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm
Related markets
This event has one listed market.
Big trades here sizes only
No large prints for this market in the latest refresh.