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Geopolitics

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 30?

Ends · 24h vol $114.5K · liquidity $45.9K
Yes 7.5¢No 92.5¢
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Price

FROG CHECK

Spread1.0¢bid 6¢ / ask 7¢
Taker fee$0.00on $100 · geopolitics rate 0 · makers $0
Maker rewardsMin 50 shquotes within 4.5¢ of mid qualify
DisputeNo proposalUMA bond $250 · reward $0.6
Liquidity$45.9K24h vol $114.5K

Cost to fill (buy Yes, walking the live ask book)

Swipe for slippage, fee, and whether the book fills.

SpendSharesAvg priceSlippageEst. taker feeBook
$1001,2777.8¢+0.83¢$0.00fills
$1,00011,5968.6¢+1.62¢$0.00fills
$10,00033,21330¢+23.11¢$0.00fills

Order book Yes · latest

13¢5
12¢10
11¢5,005
10¢405
9¢60
8¢8,724
7¢214
spread 1.0¢ · mid 6.5¢
6¢743
5¢1,019
4¢12,170
3¢710
2¢1,810
1¢3,164

Market read

Yes is 7.5¢. No is 92.5¢. No large print for this market is in the latest refresh. How it resolves is in the rules text below, from Polymarket.

OutcomePrice
Yes7.5¢Trade on Polymarket
No92.5¢Trade on Polymarket

Both links open this event. PolyFrog does not send a separate outcome order.

Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.

Resolution source: https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT

UMA status: no proposal.

Related markets

Big trades here sizes only

No large prints for this market in the latest refresh.