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Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?

Ends · 24h vol $3.1K · liquidity $1.3K
Yes 22¢No 78¢
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Price Yes

Price history is unavailable for this market right now.

FROG CHECK

Spread5.0¢bid 19¢ / ask 24¢
Taker fee$3.80on $100 · culture rate 0.05 · makers $0
Maker rewardsMin 50 shquotes within 5.5¢ of mid qualify
DisputeNo proposalUMA bond $500 · reward $3.5
Liquidity$1.3K24h vol $3.1K

Cost to fill (buy Yes, walking the live ask book)

Swipe for slippage, fee, and whether the book fills.

SpendSharesAvg priceSlippageEst. taker feeBook
$10041724¢+0.00¢$3.80fills
$1,0001,87453¢+29.37¢$15.34fills
$10,0003,65172¢+48.28¢$21.71partial

Order book Yes · latest

33¢5
30¢20
29¢122
28¢44
27¢40
25¢145
24¢505
spread 5.0¢ · mid 22¢
19¢30
18¢140
17¢41
16¢93
15¢139
14¢100
13¢158

Market read

Yes is 22¢. No is 78¢. No large print for this market is in the latest refresh. How it resolves is in the rules text below, from Polymarket.

OutcomePrice
Yes22¢Trade on Polymarket
No78¢Trade on Polymarket

Both links open this event. PolyFrog does not send a separate outcome order.

Rules

This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between October 23, 12:00 PM ET and October 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Resolution source: https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrump

UMA status: no proposal.

Related markets

Big trades here sizes only

No large prints for this market in the latest refresh.