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Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?

Ends · 24h vol $46.4K · liquidity $7.6K
Yes 30¢No 70¢
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Price Yes

Price history is unavailable for this market right now.

FROG CHECK

Spread0.4¢bid 30¢ / ask 31¢
Taker fee$3.45on $100 · culture rate 0.05 · makers $0
Maker rewardsMin 50 shquotes within 5.5¢ of mid qualify
DisputeNo proposalUMA bond $500 · reward $3.5
Liquidity$7.6K24h vol $46.4K

Cost to fill (buy Yes, walking the live ask book)

Swipe for slippage, fee, and whether the book fills.

SpendSharesAvg priceSlippageEst. taker feeBook
$10032431¢+0.30¢$3.45fills
$1,0002,56939¢+8.32¢$30.18fills
$10,00014,15271¢+40.06¢$110.75fills

Order book Yes · latest

32¢151
32¢80
31¢6
31¢114
31¢42
31¢16
31¢100
spread 0.4¢ · mid 30¢
30¢15
30¢37
30¢1,026
30¢58
30¢200
29¢16
29¢7

Market read

Yes is 30¢. No is 70¢. No large print for this market is in the latest refresh. How it resolves is in the rules text below, from Polymarket.

OutcomePrice
Yes30¢Trade on Polymarket
No70¢Trade on Polymarket

Both links open this event. PolyFrog does not send a separate outcome order.

Rules

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from October 23 12:00 PM ET to October 30, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Resolution source: https://x.com/elonmusk

UMA status: no proposal.

Related markets

Big trades here sizes only

No large prints for this market in the latest refresh.