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Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?

Ends · 24h vol $6.7K · liquidity $7.4K
Yes 2.5¢No 97.5¢
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Price Yes

Price history is unavailable for this market right now.

FROG CHECK

Spread0.5¢bid 2.2¢ / ask 2.7¢
Taker fee$4.75on $100 · culture rate 0.05 · makers $0
Maker rewardsMin 50 shquotes within 5.5¢ of mid qualify
DisputeNo proposalUMA bond $500 · reward $3.5
Liquidity$7.4K24h vol $6.7K

Cost to fill (buy Yes, walking the live ask book)

Swipe for slippage, fee, and whether the book fills.

SpendSharesAvg priceSlippageEst. taker feeBook
$1002,2324.5¢+1.78¢$4.75fills
$1,0007,35914¢+10.89¢$40.38fills
$10,00017,54657¢+54.29¢$70.18fills

Order book Yes · latest

5.5¢217
5¢200
4.9¢100
4¢403
2.9¢100
2.8¢515
2.7¢113
spread 0.5¢ · mid 2.5¢
2.2¢207
2.1¢206
2¢105
1.8¢505
1.7¢5
1.4¢20
1.3¢50

Market read

Yes is 2.5¢. No is 97.5¢. No large print for this market is in the latest refresh. How it resolves is in the rules text below, from Polymarket.

OutcomePrice
Yes2.5¢Trade on Polymarket
No97.5¢Trade on Polymarket

Both links open this event. PolyFrog does not send a separate outcome order.

Rules

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from October 27 12:00 PM ET to November 3, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Resolution source: https://x.com/elonmusk

UMA status: no proposal.

Related markets

Big trades here sizes only

No large prints for this market in the latest refresh.