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CultureResolved

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?

Ends · 24h vol $2.5K · liquidity $6.0K
Yes 0.7¢No 99.3¢
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Price Yes

Price history is unavailable for this market right now.

FROG CHECK

Spread0.2¢bid 0.6¢ / ask 0.8¢
Taker fee$4.63on $100 · culture rate 0.05 · makers $0
Maker rewardsMin 20 shquotes within 4.5¢ of mid qualify
DisputeNo proposalUMA bond $500 · reward $3.5
Liquidity$6.0K24h vol $2.5K

Cost to fill (buy Yes, walking the live ask book)

Swipe for slippage, fee, and whether the book fills.

SpendSharesAvg priceSlippageEst. taker feeBook
$1003,1533.2¢+2.37¢$4.63fills
$1,0006,40216¢+14.82¢$35.93fills
$10,00015,82663¢+62.39¢$49.85fills

Order book Yes · latest

2¢105
1.9¢118
1.8¢143
1.1¢5
1¢100
0.9¢889
0.8¢648
spread 0.2¢ · mid 0.7¢
0.6¢97
0.5¢1,254
0.4¢3,146
0.3¢26,111
0.2¢12,500
0.1¢36,324

Market read

Yes is 0.7¢. No is 99.3¢. No large print for this market is in the latest refresh. How it resolves is in the rules text below, from Polymarket.

OutcomePrice
Yes0.7¢Trade on Polymarket
No99.3¢Trade on Polymarket

Both links open this event. PolyFrog does not send a separate outcome order.

Rules

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from October 30 12:00 PM ET to November 6, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Resolution source: https://x.com/elonmusk

UMA status: no proposal.

Related markets

Big trades here sizes only

No large prints for this market in the latest refresh.