PolyFrogPOLYFROG.
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Politics

First Round Outright Winner in the LA-04 House Election?

Ends · 24h vol $171 · liquidity $240
Yes 51¢No 50¢
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Price

FROG CHECK

Spread75.0¢bid 13¢ / ask 88¢
Taker fee$0.40on $100 · politics rate 0.04 · makers $0
Maker rewardsMin 20 shquotes within 4.5¢ of mid qualify
DisputeNo proposalUMA bond $500 · reward $3.5
Liquidity$24024h vol $171

Cost to fill (buy Yes, walking the live ask book)

Swipe for slippage, fee, and whether the book fills.

SpendSharesAvg priceSlippageEst. taker feeBook
$10011190¢+1.97¢$0.40fills
$1,0001,04395.9¢+7.88¢$1.62fills
$10,0002,51897.7¢+9.67¢$2.24partial

Order book Yes · latest

97¢5
96¢285
95¢195
94¢16
92¢21
91¢66
88¢40
spread 75.0¢ · mid 51¢
13¢30
12¢50
11¢409
10¢243
8¢5
6¢10
5¢250

Market read

Yes is 51¢. No is 50¢. No large print for this market is in the latest refresh. How it resolves is in the rules text below, from Polymarket.

OutcomePrice
Yes51¢Trade on Polymarket
No50¢Trade on Polymarket

Both links open this event. PolyFrog does not send a separate outcome order.

Rules

The first round of the 2026 midterm LA-04 House election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm LA-04 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”. If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the LA-04 House election.

UMA status: no proposal.

Related markets

This event has one listed market.

Big trades here sizes only

No large prints for this market in the latest refresh.