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Geopolitics

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?

Ends · 24h vol $14.9K · liquidity $78.4K
Yes 7.5¢No 92.5¢
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Price Yes

Price history is unavailable for this market right now.

FROG CHECK

Spread2.3¢bid 6.4¢ / ask 8.7¢
Taker fee$0.00fees off on this market · makers $0
Maker rewardsMin 200 shquotes within 3.5¢ of mid qualify
DisputeDisputedUMA bond $500 · reward $5
Liquidity$78.4K24h vol $14.9K

Cost to fill (buy Yes, walking the live ask book)

Swipe for slippage, fee, and whether the book fills.

SpendSharesAvg priceSlippageEst. taker feeBook
$1001,1228.9¢+0.21¢$0.00fills
$1,0009,25711¢+2.10¢$0.00fills
$10,00040,45625¢+16.02¢$0.00fills

Order book Yes · latest

9.6¢893
9.4¢463
9.3¢255
9.1¢900
9¢22
8.8¢680
8.7¢20
spread 2.3¢ · mid 7.5¢
6.4¢100
6.3¢219
6.2¢401
6.1¢323
6¢1,720
5.7¢640
5.6¢1,050

Market read

Yes is 7.5¢. No is 92.5¢. No large print for this market is in the latest refresh. How it resolves is in the rules text below, from Polymarket.

OutcomePrice
Yes7.5¢Trade on Polymarket
No92.5¢Trade on Polymarket

Both links open this event. PolyFrog does not send a separate outcome order.

Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel. Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect. An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count. An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal. Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

UMA status: disputed.

Related markets

This event has one listed market.

Big trades here sizes only

No large prints for this market in the latest refresh.