Muse Charm released by December 15, 2026?
Price
FROG CHECK
Cost to fill (buy Yes, walking the live ask book)
Swipe for slippage, fee, and whether the book fills.
| Spend | Shares | Avg price | Slippage | Est. taker fee | Book |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $100 | 123 | 81¢ | +0.00¢ | $0.76 | fills |
| $1,000 | 1,019 | 91.4¢ | +10.36¢ | $3.03 | partial |
| $10,000 | 1,019 | 91.4¢ | +10.36¢ | $3.03 | partial |
Order book Yes · latest
Market read
Yes is 79¢. No is 21¢. No large print for this market is in the latest refresh. How it resolves is in the rules text below, from Polymarket.
| Outcome | Price | |
|---|---|---|
| Yes | 79¢ | Trade on Polymarket |
| No | 21¢ | Trade on Polymarket |
Both links open this event. PolyFrog does not send a separate outcome order.
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Meta officially releases the Muse Charm by 11:59 PM ET on the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". "Muse Charm" refers to the device unveiled by Meta on September 23, 2026, including its final commercial version under any name or branding. Any name change or rebranding of the Muse Charm will have no bearing on this market's resolution. In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public in the United States and shipments to public customers or availability for customer pickup must have begun by the specified deadline. Availability in selected US locations or in limited quantities will qualify. Access restricted to selected testers or invitees will not qualify. An announcement, unveiling, or pre-order period alone is not sufficient. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official statements and product pages from Meta; however, availability information from authorized retailers or a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Related markets
Big trades here sizes only
No large prints for this market in the latest refresh.