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Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by December 31, 2026?

Ends · 24h vol $8.1K · liquidity $21.8K
Yes 90¢No 10¢
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Price Yes

Price history is unavailable for this market right now.

FROG CHECK

Spread1.0¢bid 89¢ / ask 90¢
Taker fee$0.40on $100 · tech rate 0.04 · makers $0
Maker rewardsMin 50 shquotes within 6.5¢ of mid qualify
DisputeNo proposalUMA bond $500 · reward $5
Liquidity$21.8K24h vol $8.1K

Cost to fill (buy Yes, walking the live ask book)

Swipe for slippage, fee, and whether the book fills.

SpendSharesAvg priceSlippageEst. taker feeBook
$10011190¢+0.00¢$0.40fills
$1,0001,10390.7¢+0.68¢$3.73fills
$10,00010,69293.5¢+3.53¢$25.79fills

Order book Yes · latest

96¢469
95¢3,827
94¢1,437
93¢3,118
92¢1,047
91¢804
90¢358
spread 1.0¢ · mid 90¢
89¢486
88¢1,877
87¢2,206
86¢510
85¢350
83¢200
72¢11

Market read

Yes is 90¢. No is 10¢. No large print for this market is in the latest refresh. How it resolves is in the rules text below, from Polymarket.

OutcomePrice
Yes90¢Trade on Polymarket
No10¢Trade on Polymarket

Both links open this event. PolyFrog does not send a separate outcome order.

Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI makes a GPT Astra model designated 6.1 or higher available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying model must be an OpenAI model designated as version 6.1 or higher that includes "Astra" in its name or model identifier, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, GPT-6.1 Astra, Astra 6.1, or GPT Astra 7 would all qualify. GPT-6 Astra, including any rollout, promotion, Pro or Fast mode, or snapshot of it, will not qualify. Tier-labeled models such as GPT-5.6 Sol, GPT-5.6 Terra, or GPT-5.6 Luna and their successors, and task-specific or modality lines such as GPT-5.6-Cyber, Daybreak models, Codex, GPT Image, or Realtime models, will not qualify. A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.

UMA status: no proposal.

Related markets

Big trades here sizes only

No large prints for this market in the latest refresh.