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Economics

Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the November 2026 meeting?

Ends · 24h vol $4.3K · liquidity $8.1K
Yes 87¢No 14¢
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Price Yes

Price history is unavailable for this market right now.

FROG CHECK

Spread1.7¢bid 86¢ / ask 87¢
Taker fee$0.63on $100 · economics rate 0.05 · makers $0
Maker rewardsMin 20 shquotes within 4.5¢ of mid qualify
DisputeNo proposalUMA bond $500 · reward $5
Liquidity$8.1K24h vol $4.3K

Cost to fill (buy Yes, walking the live ask book)

Swipe for slippage, fee, and whether the book fills.

SpendSharesAvg priceSlippageEst. taker feeBook
$10011487¢+0.00¢$0.63fills
$1,0001,13288¢+0.96¢$5.82fills
$10,00010,79192.7¢+5.27¢$36.33fills

Order book Yes · latest

89¢100
88¢166
88¢60
88¢30
88¢20
88¢100
87¢163
spread 1.7¢ · mid 87¢
86¢50
86¢100
86¢100
85¢37
85¢68
85¢250
85¢90

Market read

Yes is 87¢. No is 14¢. No large print for this market is in the latest refresh. How it resolves is in the rules text below, from Polymarket.

OutcomePrice
Yes87¢Trade on Polymarket
No14¢Trade on Polymarket

Both links open this event. PolyFrog does not send a separate outcome order.

Rules

This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the cash rate target resulting from the November 2026 meeting of the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) Monetary Policy Board, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source will be official information from the Reserve Bank of Australia, including the statement or release from its November 2026 meeting, scheduled for November 2-3, 2026, as listed on the official RBA calendar (https://www.rba.gov.au/schedules-events/calendar/?topics=monetary-policy-board). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Reserve Bank of Australia Monetary Policy Board resulting from its November 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound. If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of "Increase" or "Decrease" will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size. If the specified meeting is postponed to a date and time before the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve based on the outcome of that postponed meeting. If the specified meeting is cancelled, or postponed such that no decision is announced by the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No Change" bracket. Emergency changes to the specified rate not resulting from the specified meeting will not be considered.

Resolution source: https://www.rba.gov.au/schedules-events/calendar/?topics=monetary-policy-board

UMA status: no proposal.

Related markets

Big trades here sizes only

No large prints for this market in the latest refresh.