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Economics

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on October 30?

Ends · 24h vol $696 · liquidity $580
Yes 1.8¢No 98.2¢
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Price

FROG CHECK

Spread1.7¢bid 1¢ / ask 2.7¢
Taker fee$2.27on $100 · finance rate 0.04 · makers $0
Maker rewardsMin 20 shquotes within 4.5¢ of mid qualify
DisputeNo proposalUMA bond $250 · reward $0.6
Liquidity$58024h vol $696

Cost to fill (buy Yes, walking the live ask book)

Swipe for slippage, fee, and whether the book fills.

SpendSharesAvg priceSlippageEst. taker feeBook
$10064016¢+12.92¢$2.27fills
$1,0001,10351¢+48.01¢$2.40partial
$10,0001,10351¢+48.01¢$2.40partial

Order book Yes · latest

40¢100
12¢197
4.5¢82
3.4¢44
3.2¢5
2.8¢60
2.7¢124
spread 1.7¢ · mid 1.8¢
1¢1,012
0.9¢60
0.8¢10
0.1¢25,410

Market read

Yes is 1.8¢. No is 98.2¢. No large print for this market is in the latest refresh. How it resolves is in the rules text below, from Polymarket.

OutcomePrice
Yes1.8¢Trade on Polymarket
No98.2¢Trade on Polymarket

Both links open this event. PolyFrog does not send a separate outcome order.

Rules

This market will resolve to "Up" if the official S&P 500 Index open price for S&P 500 (SPX) on October 30 is higher than the official S&P 500 Index closing price for SPX on the most recent prior trading day. This market will resolve to "Down" if the official S&P 500 Index open price for S&P 500 (SPX) on October 30 is lower than the official S&P 500 Index closing price for SPX on the most recent prior trading day. E.g., ordinarily, a market on Monday would refer to the previous Friday for its most recent closing price, unless that Friday were a market holiday, in which case it would refer to Thursday, or the next most recent trading day. If the two prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve 50-50. Note that all figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding. If SPX does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50. If either of the relevant days are shortened (for example, due to a market holiday schedule), the official open/close price published by S&P 500 Index for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If the previous trading day has no official closing price (for example, due to a trading halt into the market close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price. The resolution source for this market is the Wall Street Journal, specifically the Open/Close values published by the WSJ under "Historical Prices". US: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks EMEA: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks/emea ASIA: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks/asia

Resolution source: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks

UMA status: no proposal.

Related markets

This event has one listed market.

Big trades here sizes only

No large prints for this market in the latest refresh.