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Weather

Will it rain in Phoenix, AZ on October 29?

Ends · 24h vol $0 · liquidity $231
Yes 38¢No 62¢
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Price

FROG CHECK

Spread74.0¢bid 1¢ / ask 75¢
Taker fee$1.25on $100 · weather rate 0.05 · makers $0
Maker rewardsMin 50 shquotes within 4.5¢ of mid qualify
DisputeNo proposalUMA bond $500 · reward $5
Liquidity$23124h vol $0

Cost to fill (buy Yes, walking the live ask book)

Swipe for slippage, fee, and whether the book fills.

SpendSharesAvg priceSlippageEst. taker feeBook
$10013375¢+0.00¢$1.25fills
$1,00099777¢+1.90¢$8.64partial
$10,00099777¢+1.90¢$8.64partial

Order book Yes · latest

99.9¢30
99¢10
98.9¢38
75¢919
spread 74.0¢ · mid 38¢
1¢30
0.2¢300
0.1¢15

Market read

Yes is 38¢. No is 62¢. No large print for this market is in the latest refresh. How it resolves is in the rules text below, from Polymarket.

OutcomePrice
Yes38¢Trade on Polymarket
No62¢Trade on Polymarket

Both links open this event. PolyFrog does not send a separate outcome order.

Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Phoenix, AZ records measurable precipitation on October 29, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Measurable precipitation means 0.01 inches or more as reported by the PRECIPITATION (IN) figure in the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for the city's station. A report of trace ("T") does not qualify. The PRECIPITATION (IN) figure measures total liquid-equivalent precipitation and does not distinguish between precipitation types. The observation period is the NWS climate day for KPHX: midnight to midnight local standard time. The final CLI report for a climate day is issued the following morning. This market will resolve according to the NWS Daily Climate Report as published by 2:00 PM ET on the day following the observation date. If multiple versions of the report are issued, the last version published before that time governs. If no figure has been published by that time, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for KPHX, published at https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&product=CLI&issuedby=PHX.

Resolution source: https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&product=CLI&issuedby=PHX

UMA status: no proposal.

Related markets

Big trades here sizes only

No large prints for this market in the latest refresh.