PolyFrogPOLYFROG.
Alerts
Weather

Will it rain in Chicago, IL on October 30?

Ends · 24h vol $0 · liquidity $5
Yes 50¢No 50¢
Trade on PolymarketGet alerts on Telegram

Price

FROG CHECK

Spread98.0¢bid 1¢ / ask 99¢
Taker fee$0.05on $100 · weather rate 0.05 · makers $0
Maker rewardsMin 50 shquotes within 4.5¢ of mid qualify
DisputeNo proposalUMA bond $500 · reward $5
Liquidity$524h vol $0

Cost to fill (buy Yes, walking the live ask book)

Swipe for slippage, fee, and whether the book fills.

SpendSharesAvg priceSlippageEst. taker feeBook
$10010199¢+0.00¢$0.05fills
$1,00023699¢+0.00¢$0.12partial
$10,00023699¢+0.00¢$0.12partial

Order book Yes · latest

99¢236
spread 98.0¢ · mid 50¢
1¢236

Market read

Yes is 50¢. No is 50¢. No large print for this market is in the latest refresh. How it resolves is in the rules text below, from Polymarket.

OutcomePrice
Yes50¢Trade on Polymarket
No50¢Trade on Polymarket

Both links open this event. PolyFrog does not send a separate outcome order.

Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Chicago, IL records measurable precipitation on October 30, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Measurable precipitation means 0.01 inches or more as reported by the PRECIPITATION (IN) figure in the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for the city's station. A report of trace ("T") does not qualify. The PRECIPITATION (IN) figure measures total liquid-equivalent precipitation and does not distinguish between precipitation types. The observation period is the NWS climate day for KMDW: midnight to midnight local standard time. The final CLI report for a climate day is issued the following morning. This market will resolve according to the NWS Daily Climate Report as published by 2:00 PM ET on the day following the observation date. If multiple versions of the report are issued, the last version published before that time governs. If no figure has been published by that time, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for KMDW, published at https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&product=CLI&issuedby=MDW.

Resolution source: https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&product=CLI&issuedby=MDW

UMA status: no proposal.

Related markets

Big trades here sizes only

No large prints for this market in the latest refresh.