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Will Alibaba have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of October 2026?

Ends · 24h vol $0 · liquidity $997
Yes 0.4¢No 99.6¢
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Price Yes

Price history is unavailable for this market right now.

FROG CHECK

Spread—bid — / ask 0.9¢
Taker fee$0.73on $100 · tech rate 0.04 · makers $0
Maker rewardsMin 20 shquotes within 4.5¢ of mid qualify
DisputeNo proposalUMA bond $500 · reward $5
Liquidity$99724h vol $0

Cost to fill (buy Yes, walking the live ask book)

Swipe for slippage, fee, and whether the book fills.

SpendSharesAvg priceSlippageEst. taker feeBook
$1001,0969.1¢+8.22¢$0.73fills
$1,0001,99750¢+49.18¢$0.77fills
$10,0002,46660¢+58.66¢$0.79partial

Order book Yes · latest

99.3¢31
29¢10
15¢50
4¢20
2¢30
1¢50
0.9¢855
spread — · mid 0.9¢

Market read

Yes is 0.4¢. No is 99.6¢. No large print for this market is in the latest refresh. How it resolves is in the rules text below, from Polymarket.

OutcomePrice
Yes0.4¢Trade on Polymarket
No99.6¢Trade on Polymarket

Both links open this event. PolyFrog does not send a separate outcome order.

Rules

This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model with the highest Mathematics score on LiveBench.ai when the leaderboard is checked on October 31, 2026, at 12:00 PM ET. Results from the “Mathematics” column of the leaderboard at https://livebench.ai/#/?cats=Mathematics, with the latest available LiveBench release selected and the category set to “Mathematics,” will be used to resolve this market. Models will be ranked according to the specified score, with higher scores ranked ahead of lower scores. If two or more models have exactly the same score as displayed on the leaderboard, the model with the lower listed "cost per successful task" will be ranked ahead. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact score and cost per successful task, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the LiveBench leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “Other.”

Resolution source: https://livebench.ai/#/?cats=Mathematics

UMA status: no proposal.

Related markets

Big trades here sizes only

No large prints for this market in the latest refresh.