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Economics

Will Amazon’s market capitalization be between $2.50T and $3.00T at the end of 2026?

Ends · 24h vol $1.3K · liquidity $3.0K
Yes 49¢No 51¢
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Price Yes

Price history is unavailable for this market right now.

FROG CHECK

Spread2.0¢bid 48¢ / ask 50¢
Taker fee$2.00on $100 · finance rate 0.04 · makers $0
Maker rewardsMin 20 shquotes within 5.5¢ of mid qualify
DisputeNo proposalUMA bond $500 · reward $5
Liquidity$3.0K24h vol $1.3K

Cost to fill (buy Yes, walking the live ask book)

Swipe for slippage, fee, and whether the book fills.

SpendSharesAvg priceSlippageEst. taker feeBook
$10020050¢+0.00¢$2.00fills
$1,0002,00050¢+0.00¢$20.00fills
$10,00012,30781¢+31.25¢$58.02fills

Order book Yes · latest

81¢210
72¢70
69¢163
53¢100
52¢292
51¢194
50¢2,522
spread 2.0¢ · mid 49¢
48¢205
47¢309
46¢212
45¢20
44¢51
43¢114
41¢20

Market read

Yes is 49¢. No is 51¢. No large print for this market is in the latest refresh. How it resolves is in the rules text below, from Polymarket.

OutcomePrice
Yes49¢Trade on Polymarket
No51¢Trade on Polymarket

Both links open this event. PolyFrog does not send a separate outcome order.

Rules

This market will resolve according to Amazon's public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of 2026. If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of 2026, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies. If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution. The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.

UMA status: no proposal.

Related markets

Big trades here sizes only

No large prints for this market in the latest refresh.