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Economics

Will Anthropic raise at least $135B in its IPO?

Ends · 24h vol $1.0K · liquidity $1.3K
Yes 3.3¢No 96.7¢
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Price Yes

Price history is unavailable for this market right now.

FROG CHECK

Spread4.0¢bid 1.3¢ / ask 5.3¢
Taker fee$0.00fees off on this market · makers $0
Maker rewardsMin 50 shquotes within 4.5¢ of mid qualify
DisputeNo proposalUMA bond $500 · reward $5
Liquidity$1.3K24h vol $1.0K

Cost to fill (buy Yes, walking the live ask book)

Swipe for slippage, fee, and whether the book fills.

SpendSharesAvg priceSlippageEst. taker feeBook
$10060716¢+11.18¢$0.00fills
$1,0002,01950¢+44.22¢$0.00fills
$10,00011,24789¢+83.62¢$0.00fills

Order book Yes · latest

17¢103
17¢78
7.6¢5
7¢76
5.5¢50
5.4¢50
5.3¢30
spread 4.0¢ · mid 3.3¢
1.3¢50
1.1¢50
0.3¢525
0.2¢400
0.1¢695

Market read

Yes is 3.3¢. No is 96.7¢. No large print for this market is in the latest refresh. How it resolves is in the rules text below, from Polymarket.

OutcomePrice
Yes3.3¢Trade on Polymarket
No96.7¢Trade on Polymarket

Both links open this event. PolyFrog does not send a separate outcome order.

Rules

This market will resolve according to the total gross proceeds raised by Anthropic in its initial public offering (IPO) at the time of pricing. The amount raised is defined as the aggregate dollar value of shares sold at the final offering price at the time of IPO pricing, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission. Shares sold pursuant to any overallotment option (greenshoe) will not be considered. Secondary sales of existing shares by current shareholders will be included only to the extent that they are part of the IPO offering at pricing and reflected in the total gross proceeds. Private secondary transactions conducted outside of the IPO will not be considered. Shares sold in any private placement concurrent with the IPO will not be considered. If the total proceeds fall exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range. If Anthropic does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

UMA status: no proposal.

Related markets

Big trades here sizes only

No large prints for this market in the latest refresh.