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Economics

Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in December 2026 (ET)?

Ends · 24h vol $162 · liquidity $6.0K
Yes 6.6¢No 93.5¢
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Price

FROG CHECK

Spread3.1¢bid 5¢ / ask 8.1¢
Taker fee$3.64on $100 · finance rate 0.04 · makers $0
Maker rewardsMin 50 shquotes within 4.5¢ of mid qualify
DisputeNo proposalUMA bond $500 · reward $5
Liquidity$6.0K24h vol $162

Cost to fill (buy Yes, walking the live ask book)

Swipe for slippage, fee, and whether the book fills.

SpendSharesAvg priceSlippageEst. taker feeBook
$1001,1248.9¢+0.80¢$3.64fills
$1,0005,73317¢+9.34¢$30.88fills
$10,00015,45865¢+56.59¢$49.89fills

Order book Yes · latest

9.1¢200
9¢300
8.8¢100
8.6¢263
8.3¢100
8.2¢25
8.1¢15
spread 3.1¢ · mid 6.6¢
5¢30
4.9¢40
4.6¢22
4.5¢155
4.4¢181
4¢300
3¢500

Market read

Yes is 6.6¢. No is 93.5¢. No large print for this market is in the latest refresh. How it resolves is in the rules text below, from Polymarket.

OutcomePrice
Yes6.6¢Trade on Polymarket
No93.5¢Trade on Polymarket

Both links open this event. PolyFrog does not send a separate outcome order.

Rules

This market will resolve based on the calendar month (ET) in which Anthropic's initial public offering (IPO) occurs. The resolving month will be the calendar month (ET) containing the first day on which Anthropic shares are listed and open for regular-way trading on a public securities exchange. An IPO refers to Anthropic shares becoming listed and open for trading on a public securities exchange, whether through a traditional initial public offering or a direct listing. If Anthropic goes public through a merger, acquisition, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded, including a special purpose acquisition company, this market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028". If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028". Announcements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun. Resolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.

UMA status: no proposal.

Related markets

Big trades here sizes only

No large prints for this market in the latest refresh.