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Economics

Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?

Ends · 24h vol $32.1K · liquidity $19.1K
Yes 29¢No 72¢
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Price Yes

Price history is unavailable for this market right now.

FROG CHECK

Spread1.0¢bid 28¢ / ask 29¢
Taker fee$2.84on $100 · finance rate 0.04 · makers $0
Maker rewardsMin 50 shquotes within 4.5¢ of mid qualify
DisputeNo proposalUMA bond $500 · reward $5
Liquidity$19.1K24h vol $32.1K

Cost to fill (buy Yes, walking the live ask book)

Swipe for slippage, fee, and whether the book fills.

SpendSharesAvg priceSlippageEst. taker feeBook
$10034529¢+0.00¢$2.84fills
$1,0003,41429¢+0.29¢$28.28fills
$10,00020,74048¢+19.22¢$183.64fills

Order book Yes · latest

35¢174
34¢346
33¢138
32¢548
31¢1,010
30¢1,636
29¢2,429
spread 1.0¢ · mid 29¢
28¢314
27¢546
26¢2,480
25¢344
15¢90
7¢120
6¢30

Market read

Yes is 29¢. No is 72¢. No large print for this market is in the latest refresh. How it resolves is in the rules text below, from Polymarket.

OutcomePrice
Yes29¢Trade on Polymarket
No72¢Trade on Polymarket

Both links open this event. PolyFrog does not send a separate outcome order.

Rules

This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading. If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027". Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.

UMA status: no proposal.

Related markets

Big trades here sizes only

No large prints for this market in the latest refresh.