Will any AI model reach 1600 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?
Price
FROG CHECK
Cost to fill (buy Yes, walking the live ask book)
Swipe for slippage, fee, and whether the book fills.
| Spend | Shares | Avg price | Slippage | Est. taker fee | Book |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $100 | 922 | 11¢ | +1.15¢ | $3.56 | fills |
| $1,000 | 3,121 | 32¢ | +22.34¢ | $16.88 | fills |
| $10,000 | 5,073 | 58¢ | +48.43¢ | $17.01 | partial |
Order book Yes · latest
Market read
Yes is 9.4¢. No is 90.6¢. No large print for this market is in the latest refresh. How it resolves is in the rules text below, from Polymarket.
| Outcome | Price | |
|---|---|---|
| Yes | 9.4¢ | Trade on Polymarket |
| No | 90.6¢ | Trade on Polymarket |
Both links open this event. PolyFrog does not send a separate outcome order.
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model on the Arena.AI Leaderboard (arena.ai/leaderboard/text) reaches at least the specified Arena Score on the "Leaderboard" tab for "Coding" by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Arena | Coding" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/coding-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market. The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at arena.ai/leaderboard/text. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "No".
Resolution source: https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/coding-no-style-control
Related markets
Big trades here sizes only
No large prints for this market in the latest refresh.