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EconomicsResolved

Will Canada's GDP growth rate MoM in August 2026 be between 0.2% and 0.3%?

Ends · 24h vol $0 · liquidity $0
Yes 0.0¢No 100.0¢
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Price

FROG CHECK

Spread—bid — / ask —
Taker fee$0.00on $100 · economics rate 0.05 · makers $0
Maker rewardsMin 20 shquotes within 4.5¢ of mid qualify
DisputeProposedUMA bond $500 · reward $5
Liquidity$024h vol $0

Cost to fill (buy Yes, walking the live ask book)

Swipe for slippage, fee, and whether the book fills.

SpendSharesAvg priceSlippageEst. taker feeBook
$100———$0.00partial
$1,000———$0.00partial
$10,000———$0.00partial

Order book Yes · latest

spread — · mid —

Market read

Yes is 0.0¢. No is 100.0¢. No large print for this market is in the latest refresh. How it resolves is in the rules text below, from Polymarket.

OutcomePrice
Yes0.0¢Trade on Polymarket
No100.0¢Trade on Polymarket

Both links open this event. PolyFrog does not send a separate outcome order.

Rules

This market will resolve according to Canada’s gross domestic product growth rate over the one-month period ending August 2026 (Real GDP monthly change, %), as reported by Statistics Canada’s (StatCan) “Gross domestic product by industry” release for August 2026, scheduled for release on October 30, 2026. The GDP release and relevant statistics are expected to be made available here: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/ind1-eng.htm If the specified release is not published, this market will resolve based on the first published figure for the specified month’s GDP growth rate compared to the prior month. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month. Note: the resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates compared to the prior month to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following month or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3569.

Resolution source: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/ind1-eng.htm

UMA status: proposed.

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No large prints for this market in the latest refresh.