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Will "Carnaval de Luz" first week sales be at least 75k?

Ends · 24h vol $0 · liquidity $4
Yes 48¢No 52¢
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Price

FROG CHECK

Spread92.0¢bid 2¢ / ask 94¢
Taker fee$0.00fees off on this market · makers $0
Maker rewardsMin 50 shquotes within 4.5¢ of mid qualify
DisputeNo proposalUMA bond $500 · reward $5
Liquidity$424h vol $0

Cost to fill (buy Yes, walking the live ask book)

Swipe for slippage, fee, and whether the book fills.

SpendSharesAvg priceSlippageEst. taker feeBook
$10010397.4¢+3.40¢$0.00fills
$1,00012097.6¢+3.63¢$0.00partial
$10,00012097.6¢+3.63¢$0.00partial

Order book Yes · latest

99¢70
98¢20
95¢5
94¢25
spread 92.0¢ · mid 48¢
2¢29
1¢86

Market read

Yes is 48¢. No is 52¢. No large print for this market is in the latest refresh. How it resolves is in the rules text below, from Polymarket.

OutcomePrice
Yes48¢Trade on Polymarket
No52¢Trade on Polymarket

Both links open this event. PolyFrog does not send a separate outcome order.

Rules

"Carnaval de Luz" (U2 / Interscope Records) is expected to release November 13, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the debut week sales for "Carnaval de Luz", according to Hits Daily Double, are greater than or equal to the specified amount. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the album has not been released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be the "HITS TOP 50" list found at https://hitsdailydouble.com/sales_plus_streaming, specifically the figure in the column titled "Activity", once the results are finalized for the album's debut week. If this resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another credible resolution source may be chosen.

UMA status: no proposal.

Related markets

Big trades here sizes only

No large prints for this market in the latest refresh.