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Economics

Will Core PCE MoM be 0.2% in October?

Ends · 24h vol $20 · liquidity $902
Yes 34¢No 67¢
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Price

FROG CHECK

Spread1.0¢bid 33¢ / ask 34¢
Taker fee$3.30on $100 · economics rate 0.05 · makers $0
Maker rewardsMin 20 shquotes within 4.5¢ of mid qualify
DisputeNo proposalUMA bond $500 · reward $5
Liquidity$90224h vol $20

Cost to fill (buy Yes, walking the live ask book)

Swipe for slippage, fee, and whether the book fills.

SpendSharesAvg priceSlippageEst. taker feeBook
$10029434¢+0.00¢$3.30fills
$1,0001,11652¢+18.44¢$9.78partial
$10,0001,11652¢+18.44¢$9.78partial

Order book Yes · latest

91¢45
90¢56
89¢8
84¢54
36¢45
35¢71
34¢652
spread 1.0¢ · mid 34¢
33¢809
32¢91
31¢32
10¢21
4¢5
2¢43
1¢72

Market read

Yes is 34¢. No is 67¢. No large print for this market is in the latest refresh. How it resolves is in the rules text below, from Polymarket.

OutcomePrice
Yes34¢Trade on Polymarket
No67¢Trade on Polymarket

Both links open this event. PolyFrog does not send a separate outcome order.

Rules

This is a market about core inflation (excluding food and energy) over the 1-month period ending October 2026, seasonally adjusted, as reported by the Bureau of Economic Analysis. This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index excluding food and energy (Core PCE) over the 1-month period ending in October 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) report. The resolution source for this market will be the BEA Personal Income and Outlays report for October 2026 (https://www.bea.gov/data/personal-consumption-expenditures-price-index), currently scheduled to be released on November 25, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BEA Personal Income and Outlays news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 1-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 0.2%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core PCE figure (the PCE price index excluding food and energy), not the headline all-items (total) PCE price index figure. If the BEA does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next Personal Income and Outlays report (https://www.bea.gov/news/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.

UMA status: no proposal.

Related markets

Big trades here sizes only

No large prints for this market in the latest refresh.