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Economics

Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by March 31, 2027?

Ends · 24h vol $2.0K · liquidity $83.6K
Yes 27¢No 73¢
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Price Yes

Price history is unavailable for this market right now.

FROG CHECK

Spread2.0¢bid 26¢ / ask 28¢
Taker fee$2.88on $100 · finance rate 0.04 · makers $0
Maker rewardsMin 20 shquotes within 6.5¢ of mid qualify
DisputeNo proposalUMA bond $500 · reward $5
Liquidity$83.6K24h vol $2.0K

Cost to fill (buy Yes, walking the live ask book)

Swipe for slippage, fee, and whether the book fills.

SpendSharesAvg priceSlippageEst. taker feeBook
$10035728¢+0.00¢$2.88fills
$1,0003,41129¢+1.32¢$28.26fills
$10,00023,03743¢+15.41¢$214.84fills

Order book Yes · latest

36¢86
35¢2,099
34¢1,780
33¢1,222
30¢2,834
29¢113
28¢1,112
spread 2.0¢ · mid 27¢
26¢333
25¢3,024
24¢1,721
22¢14
20¢1,000
19¢650
18¢2,700

Market read

Yes is 27¢. No is 73¢. No large print for this market is in the latest refresh. How it resolves is in the rules text below, from Polymarket.

OutcomePrice
Yes27¢Trade on Polymarket
No73¢Trade on Polymarket

Both links open this event. PolyFrog does not send a separate outcome order.

Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day after market creation, the official daily high price published by the CME Group for the Active Month (front month) of CME Crude Oil (CL) futures is greater than $147.27 by the final trading day on or before the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example, if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration. This market will resolve as soon as a high price greater than the listed value is published, or once finalized data for the final trading day of the specified time period is published and a high price greater than $147.27 has not been achieved. The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website (https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/energy/crude-oil/light-sweet-crude.quotes.html) — specifically, the daily "High" prices for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures. If finalized data for the final trading day of the specified time period has not been published on the CME Group website within 14 calendar days (ET) of the end of that period, this market will resolve based on the data published through all CME Group channels up to that point.

Resolution source: https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/energy/crude-oil/light-sweet-crude.quotes.html

UMA status: no proposal.

Related markets

Big trades here sizes only

No large prints for this market in the latest refresh.