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Politics

Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?

Ends · 24h vol $103.6K · liquidity $298.3K
Yes 30¢No 71¢
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Price Yes

Price history is unavailable for this market right now.

FROG CHECK

Spread1.0¢bid 29¢ / ask 30¢
Taker fee$2.80on $100 · politics rate 0.04 · makers $0
Maker rewardsMin 50 shquotes within 6.5¢ of mid qualify
DisputeNo proposalUMA bond $2500 · reward $20
Liquidity$298.3K24h vol $103.6K

Cost to fill (buy Yes, walking the live ask book)

Swipe for slippage, fee, and whether the book fills.

SpendSharesAvg priceSlippageEst. taker feeBook
$10033330¢+0.00¢$2.80fills
$1,0003,24431¢+0.83¢$27.67fills
$10,00032,27631¢+0.98¢$276.07fills

Order book Yes · latest

36¢10,141
35¢10,120
34¢9,260
33¢11,504
32¢27,052
31¢67,843
30¢560
spread 1.0¢ · mid 30¢
29¢16,761
28¢20,579
27¢73,165
26¢146,361
25¢92,848
24¢116,441
23¢1,878

Market read

Yes is 30¢. No is 71¢. No large print for this market is in the latest refresh. How it resolves is in the rules text below, from Polymarket.

OutcomePrice
Yes30¢Trade on Polymarket
No71¢Trade on Polymarket

Both links open this event. PolyFrog does not send a separate outcome order.

Rules

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Alaska U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs, currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.

UMA status: no proposal.

Related markets

Big trades here sizes only

No large prints for this market in the latest refresh.