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Will Flávio Bolsonaro return to Brazil by June 30, 2027?

Ends · 24h vol $10 · liquidity $430
Yes 17¢No 83¢
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Price

FROG CHECK

Spread6.0¢bid 14¢ / ask 20¢
Taker fee$0.00fees off on this market · makers $0
Maker rewardsMin 20 shquotes within 6.5¢ of mid qualify
DisputeNo proposalUMA bond $500 · reward $5
Liquidity$43024h vol $10

Cost to fill (buy Yes, walking the live ask book)

Swipe for slippage, fee, and whether the book fills.

SpendSharesAvg priceSlippageEst. taker feeBook
$10024641¢+20.69¢$0.00fills
$1,00097861¢+41.46¢$0.00partial
$10,00097861¢+41.46¢$0.00partial

Order book Yes · latest

57¢100
29¢8
28¢35
27¢16
24¢5
23¢20
20¢40
spread 6.0¢ · mid 17¢
14¢30
13¢20
9¢170
7¢7
6¢100
5¢117
4¢5

Market read

Yes is 17¢. No is 83¢. No large print for this market is in the latest refresh. How it resolves is in the rules text below, from Polymarket.

OutcomePrice
Yes17¢Trade on Polymarket
No83¢Trade on Polymarket

Both links open this event. PolyFrog does not send a separate outcome order.

Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Flávio Bolsonaro returns to Brazil between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A "return" is defined as Flávio Bolsonaro physically entering the terrestrial territory of Brazil. Whether or not Bolsonaro enters Brazilian airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. If it is confirmed that Flávio Bolsonaro was present in the terrestrial territory of Brazil at the time of market creation, this market will resolve to "Yes". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

UMA status: no proposal.

Related markets

Big trades here sizes only

No large prints for this market in the latest refresh.