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PoliticsResolved

Will Gavin Newsom be the next leader out before 2027?

Ends · 24h vol $2.8K · liquidity $20.1K
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢
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Price Yes

Price history is unavailable for this market right now.

FROG CHECK

Spread0.1¢bid 0.1¢ / ask 0.2¢
Taker fee$0.00fees off on this market · makers $0
Maker rewardsMin 20 shquotes within 4.5¢ of mid qualify
DisputeNo proposalUMA bond $500 · reward $5
Liquidity$20.1K24h vol $2.8K

Cost to fill (buy Yes, walking the live ask book)

Swipe for slippage, fee, and whether the book fills.

SpendSharesAvg priceSlippageEst. taker feeBook
$1002,9853.4¢+3.15¢$0.00fills
$1,0005,75217¢+17.18¢$0.00fills
$10,00017,34358¢+57.46¢$0.00fills

Order book Yes · latest

1¢10
0.7¢20
0.6¢20
0.5¢110
0.4¢525
0.3¢187
0.2¢1,079
spread 0.1¢ · mid 0.1¢
0.1¢3,268

Market read

Yes is 0.1¢. No is 99.9¢. No large print for this market is in the latest refresh. How it resolves is in the rules text below, from Polymarket.

OutcomePrice
Yes0.1¢Trade on Polymarket
No99.9¢Trade on Polymarket

Both links open this event. PolyFrog does not send a separate outcome order.

Rules

This market will resolve according to the first listed individual who ceases to occupy their listed office. An announcement of a resignation/removal, or a scheduled departure from office due to the outcome of an election, will not alone qualify. Only permanent removal from office will qualify for resolution. Temporary removals, such as impeachment suspensions (e.g., Yoon Suk Yeol's recent impeachment), temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment, or any similar provisional transfers of power, will not count. Additionally, if an individual continues in a caretaker or interim role (e.g., Gabriel Attal remaining as caretaker Prime Minister of France), they will not be considered to have ceased occupying the office for the purposes of this market. If this criterion has not been met for any of the listed individuals by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”. No additional individuals will be added to this market after its creation. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

UMA status: no proposal.

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Big trades here sizes only

No large prints for this market in the latest refresh.