PolyFrogPOLYFROG.
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Politics

Will Grüne be in the next Berlin state government?

Past listed end date, still trading · 24h vol $0 · liquidity $122
Yes 56¢No 44¢
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Price

FROG CHECK

Spread57.1¢bid 28¢ / ask 85¢
Taker fee$0.48on $100 · politics rate 0.04 · makers $0
Maker rewardsMin 55 shquotes within 6.5¢ of mid qualify
DisputeNo proposalUMA bond $500 · reward $5
Liquidity$12224h vol $0

Cost to fill (buy Yes, walking the live ask book)

Swipe for slippage, fee, and whether the book fills.

SpendSharesAvg priceSlippageEst. taker feeBook
$10011488¢+3.36¢$0.48fills
$1,0001,03996.2¢+11.62¢$1.43fills
$10,00010,05899.4¢+14.82¢$2.18fills

Order book Yes · latest

98.7¢17
93.1¢100
93¢7
90¢100
90¢93
86¢22
85¢25
spread 57.1¢ · mid 56¢
28¢144
27¢16
11¢129
1¢5
0.8¢7
0.7¢8
0.4¢30

Market read

Yes is 56¢. No is 44¢. No large print for this market is in the latest refresh. How it resolves is in the rules text below, from Polymarket.

OutcomePrice
Yes56¢Trade on Polymarket
No44¢Trade on Polymarket

Both links open this event. PolyFrog does not send a separate outcome order.

Rules

Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed political party is included in the first Berlin state government formed after the 2026 Berlin state election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market may resolve once the composition of the first Berlin state government following the 2026 state election is officially confirmed and that government has formally taken office. The state government is considered formed when the newly elected Abgeordnetenhaus elects the Governing Mayor. A party is considered part of the state government if it provides at least one Senator, including the Governing Mayor. Parties that merely support the government (e.g., through confidence-and-supply arrangements, parliamentary support agreements, or similar) without holding a Senator post will not qualify. If no government is formed, or the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Senate of Berlin and the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin.

UMA status: no proposal.

Related markets

Big trades here sizes only

No large prints for this market in the latest refresh.