PolyFrogPOLYFROG.
Alerts
Economics

Will ISM Services PMI be between 56.0 and 56.9 in October?

Ends · 24h vol $116 · liquidity $705
Yes 8.2¢No 91.8¢
Trade on PolymarketShare cardGet alerts on Telegram

Price Yes

Price history is unavailable for this market right now.

FROG CHECK

Spread15.3¢bid 0.5¢ / ask 16¢
Taker fee$3.11on $100 · economics rate 0.05 · makers $0
Maker rewardsMin 20 shquotes within 4.5¢ of mid qualify
DisputeNo proposalUMA bond $500 · reward $5
Liquidity$70524h vol $116

Cost to fill (buy Yes, walking the live ask book)

Swipe for slippage, fee, and whether the book fills.

SpendSharesAvg priceSlippageEst. taker feeBook
$10048621¢+4.76¢$3.11fills
$1,0001,41471¢+54.92¢$4.44fills
$10,00010,48695.4¢+79.57¢$7.99fills

Order book Yes · latest

98¢625
97¢417
96¢250
95.9¢17
95.5¢5
16¢215
16¢243
spread 15.3¢ · mid 8.2¢
0.5¢30
0.4¢300
0.3¢316
0.2¢210
0.1¢292

Market read

Yes is 8.2¢. No is 91.8¢. No large print for this market is in the latest refresh. How it resolves is in the rules text below, from Polymarket.

OutcomePrice
Yes8.2¢Trade on Polymarket
No91.8¢Trade on Polymarket

Both links open this event. PolyFrog does not send a separate outcome order.

Rules

This is a market about the ISM Services Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for October 2026, as reported by the Institute for Supply Management (ISM). A reading above 50 indicates expansion in the services sector relative to the previous month; a reading below 50 indicates contraction. This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Services PMI for October 2026 according to the monthly ISM Services PMI Report On Business. The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Services PMI Report On Business released for October 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on November 4, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Services PMI registered 53.6 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets. Note: The ISM Services PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Services PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.

UMA status: no proposal.

Related markets

Big trades here sizes only

No large prints for this market in the latest refresh.