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Culture

Will Justin Bieber release an album in 2026?

Ends · 24h vol $148 · liquidity $564
Yes 27¢No 74¢
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Price

FROG CHECK

Spread1.0¢bid 26¢ / ask 27¢
Taker fee$2.73on $100 · culture rate 0.05 · makers $0
Maker rewardsMin 20 shquotes within 6.5¢ of mid qualify
DisputeNo proposalUMA bond $500 · reward $5
Liquidity$56424h vol $148

Cost to fill (buy Yes, walking the live ask book)

Swipe for slippage, fee, and whether the book fills.

SpendSharesAvg priceSlippageEst. taker feeBook
$10025240¢+12.69¢$2.73fills
$1,0001,31476¢+49.10¢$8.64fills
$10,0003,49888¢+61.16¢$13.41partial

Order book Yes · latest

49¢20
47¢35
32¢20
30¢20
29¢21
28¢40
27¢51
spread 1.0¢ · mid 27¢
26¢52
25¢60
23¢20
10¢8
9¢5
8¢146
7¢125

Market read

Yes is 27¢. No is 74¢. No large print for this market is in the latest refresh. How it resolves is in the rules text below, from Polymarket.

OutcomePrice
Yes27¢Trade on Polymarket
No74¢Trade on Polymarket

Both links open this event. PolyFrog does not send a separate outcome order.

Rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed artist officially releases a new album between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM PT (Los Angeles time). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Officially released means that a newly released album is officially available for download or streaming (not including recordings of live events) by the resolution date. Album releases including non-original tracks such as live-versions, re-releases, deluxe editions, compilations, or greatest hits albums, or similar non original or altered versions of previously released songs will not count, unless they contain at least 50% tracks that have never been officially released in any format prior to the album's release. The primary resolution sources will be official streaming and download platforms. In cases of ambiguity over how a song/album is labeled, the listed resolution sources will be consulted in the following order of precedence: Spotify, Apple Music, YouTube Music, and Deezer.

UMA status: no proposal.

Related markets

Big trades here sizes only

No large prints for this market in the latest refresh.