Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
Price Yes
Price history is unavailable for this market right now.
FROG CHECK
Cost to fill (buy Yes, walking the live ask book)
Swipe for slippage, fee, and whether the book fills.
| Spend | Shares | Avg price | Slippage | Est. taker fee | Book |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $100 | 15,440 | 0.6¢ | +0.05¢ | $3.97 | fills |
| $1,000 | 75,398 | 1.3¢ | +0.73¢ | $39.38 | fills |
| $10,000 | 173,053 | 5.8¢ | +5.18¢ | $336.17 | fills |
Order book Yes · latest
Market read
Yes is 0.5¢. No is 99.6¢. 3 large prints in the latest refresh total $202.2K. How it resolves is in the rules text below, from Polymarket.
| Outcome | Price | |
|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0.5¢ | Trade on Polymarket |
| No | 99.6¢ | Trade on Polymarket |
Both links open this event. PolyFrog does not send a separate outcome order.
Rules
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Likud party in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election. If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted. If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the Likud party in this election. This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Resolution source: https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page