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Politics

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win Brazil, Benjamin Netanyahu become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate?

Ends · 24h vol $4.1K · liquidity $34.2K
Yes 32¢No 69¢
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Price Yes

Price history is unavailable for this market right now.

FROG CHECK

Spread2.6¢bid 30¢ / ask 33¢
Taker fee$2.69on $100 · politics rate 0.04 · makers $0
Maker rewardsMin 60 shquotes within 6.5¢ of mid qualify
DisputeNo proposalUMA bond $500 · reward $3.5
Liquidity$34.2K24h vol $4.1K

Cost to fill (buy Yes, walking the live ask book)

Swipe for slippage, fee, and whether the book fills.

SpendSharesAvg priceSlippageEst. taker feeBook
$10030433¢+0.06¢$2.69fills
$1,0002,41641¢+8.58¢$22.96fills
$10,00017,16758¢+25.45¢$161.33fills

Order book Yes · latest

34¢60
34¢160
33¢223
33¢172
33¢62
33¢100
33¢160
spread 2.6¢ · mid 32¢
30¢30
30¢260
30¢265
30¢198
30¢281
30¢199
29¢60

Market read

Yes is 32¢. No is 69¢. No large print for this market is in the latest refresh. How it resolves is in the rules text below, from Polymarket.

OutcomePrice
Yes32¢Trade on Polymarket
No69¢Trade on Polymarket

Both links open this event. PolyFrog does not send a separate outcome order.

Rules

The runoff round of the Brazilian presidential election is scheduled to take place on October 25, 2026. Legislative elections in Israel are scheduled to be held on October 27, 2026. The United States midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve to the single listed outcome that matches all three of the following: the winner of the Brazilian presidential election, the first Prime Minister of Israel to be sworn in as a result of the election, and the party that wins control of the United States Senate in the midterm elections. For full rules for the Brazilian presidential election, click here: https://polymarket.com/event/brazil-presidential-election For full rules for the Israeli Prime Minister, click here: https://polymarket.com/event/who-will-be-the-next-prime-minister-of-israel-after-the-next-election For full rules for the United States Senate control, click here: https://polymarket.com/event/which-party-will-win-the-senate-in-2026 Additional options may be added to this market between market creation and resolution. In the event that any constituent market resolves to "Other," this market will resolve to "Other." This market will resolve according to the sources named in the three markets linked above.

UMA status: no proposal.

Related markets

Big trades here sizes only

No large prints for this market in the latest refresh.