PolyFrogPOLYFROG.
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Politics

Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends · 24h vol $59.3K · liquidity $684.1K
Yes 43¢No 57¢
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Price Yes

Price history is unavailable for this market right now.

FROG CHECK

Spread0.1¢bid 43¢ / ask 43¢
Taker fee$2.27on $100 · politics rate 0.04 · makers $0
Maker rewardsMin 100 shquotes within 6.5¢ of mid qualify
DisputeNo proposalUMA bond $500 · reward $5
Liquidity$684.1K24h vol $59.3K

Cost to fill (buy Yes, walking the live ask book)

Swipe for slippage, fee, and whether the book fills.

SpendSharesAvg priceSlippageEst. taker feeBook
$10023143¢+0.00¢$2.27fills
$1,0002,31043¢+0.08¢$22.69fills
$10,00022,81644¢+0.63¢$224.67fills

Order book Yes · latest

44¢440
44¢1,264
44¢1,000
44¢290
43¢100
43¢7,976
43¢432
spread 0.1¢ · mid 43¢
43¢105
43¢611
43¢10,385
43¢7,245
43¢290
43¢1,686
43¢4,300

Market read

Yes is 43¢. No is 57¢. No large print for this market is in the latest refresh. How it resolves is in the rules text below, from Polymarket.

OutcomePrice
Yes43¢Trade on Polymarket
No57¢Trade on Polymarket

Both links open this event. PolyFrog does not send a separate outcome order.

Rules

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).

Resolution source: https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/

UMA status: no proposal.

Related markets

Big trades here sizes only

No large prints for this market in the latest refresh.