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Economics

Will Mexico GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 3.0% and 3.5%?

Ends · 24h vol $110 · liquidity $335
Yes 43¢No 57¢
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Price Yes

Price history is unavailable for this market right now.

FROG CHECK

Spread13.0¢bid 37¢ / ask 50¢
Taker fee$2.50on $100 · economics rate 0.05 · makers $0
Maker rewardsMin 20 shquotes within 4.5¢ of mid qualify
DisputeNo proposalUMA bond $500 · reward $5
Liquidity$33524h vol $110

Cost to fill (buy Yes, walking the live ask book)

Swipe for slippage, fee, and whether the book fills.

SpendSharesAvg priceSlippageEst. taker feeBook
$10020050¢+0.10¢$2.50fills
$1,0001,22282¢+31.92¢$6.02fills
$10,00010,25897.5¢+47.58¢$7.82fills

Order book Yes · latest

89¢8
84¢60
84¢30
78¢8
70¢13
50¢383
50¢8
spread 13.0¢ · mid 43¢
37¢13
37¢5
24¢20
0.9¢20
0.8¢40
0.6¢204
0.3¢107

Market read

Yes is 43¢. No is 57¢. No large print for this market is in the latest refresh. How it resolves is in the rules text below, from Polymarket.

OutcomePrice
Yes43¢Trade on Polymarket
No57¢Trade on Polymarket

Both links open this event. PolyFrog does not send a separate outcome order.

Rules

This market will resolve according to Mexico's Y/Y Growth Rate of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) in the "Timely Estimate of Quarterly GDP" release for Q3 of 2026, scheduled for release on October 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The GDP release will be made available here: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/ If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter. Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.

Resolution source: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/

UMA status: no proposal.

Related markets

Big trades here sizes only

No large prints for this market in the latest refresh.