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CultureResolved

Will Michael have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?

Ends · 24h vol $0 · liquidity $0
Yes 0.0¢No 100.0¢
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Price

FROG CHECK

Spread—bid — / ask —
Taker fee$0.00on $100 · culture rate 0.05 · makers $0
Maker rewardsMin 100 shquotes within 2.5¢ of mid qualify
DisputeProposedUMA bond $500 · reward $5
Liquidity$024h vol $0

Cost to fill (buy Yes, walking the live ask book)

Swipe for slippage, fee, and whether the book fills.

SpendSharesAvg priceSlippageEst. taker feeBook
$100———$0.00partial
$1,000———$0.00partial
$10,000———$0.00partial

Order book Yes · latest

spread — · mid —

Market read

Yes is 0.0¢. No is 100.0¢. No large print for this market is in the latest refresh. How it resolves is in the rules text below, from Polymarket.

OutcomePrice
Yes0.0¢Trade on Polymarket
No100.0¢Trade on Polymarket

Both links open this event. PolyFrog does not send a separate outcome order.

Rules

This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses more domestically on its opening weekend than any other movie in 2026. The “Weekend Box Office Performance” table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/movies/year/2026 will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend are final (i.e. not studio estimates). This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its 3-day domestic opening weekend than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc. Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's 3-day opening weekend (Friday, Saturday, Sunday), regardless of whether the movie has a 4 or 5-day opening weekend. If another movie's opening weekend box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No". If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win. If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.

UMA status: proposed.

Related markets

Big trades here sizes only

No large prints for this market in the latest refresh.