
Economics
Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends · 24h vol $8.8K · liquidity $7.2K
Yes 73¢No 28¢
Price Yes
Price history is unavailable for this market right now.
FROG CHECK
Spread1.0¢bid 72¢ / ask 73¢
Taker fee$1.06on $100 · finance rate 0.04 · makers $0
Maker rewardsMin 20 shquotes within 4.5¢ of mid qualify
DisputeNo proposalUMA bond $500 · reward $5
Liquidity$7.2K24h vol $8.8K
Cost to fill (buy Yes, walking the live ask book)
Swipe for slippage, fee, and whether the book fills.
| Spend | Shares | Avg price | Slippage | Est. taker fee | Book |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $100 | 136 | 74¢ | +0.56¢ | $1.06 | fills |
| $1,000 | 1,285 | 78¢ | +4.83¢ | $8.85 | fills |
| $10,000 | 11,288 | 89¢ | +15.59¢ | $43.89 | fills |
Order book Yes · latest
79¢605
78¢374
77¢43
76¢18
75¢63
74¢84
73¢60
spread 1.0¢ · mid 73¢
72¢120
71¢81
70¢21
63¢20
59¢23
57¢25
48¢10
Market read
Yes is 73¢. No is 28¢. No large print for this market is in the latest refresh. How it resolves is in the rules text below, from Polymarket.
| Outcome | Price | |
|---|---|---|
| Yes | 73¢ | Trade on Polymarket |
| No | 28¢ | Trade on Polymarket |
Both links open this event. PolyFrog does not send a separate outcome order.
Rules
This market will resolve to the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
UMA status: no proposal.
Related markets
1.8¢-0.3¢
3.4¢-3.3¢
20¢-22.5¢
0.1¢—
Big trades here sizes only
No large prints for this market in the latest refresh.