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Politics

Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?

Ends · 24h vol $1.1K · liquidity $47.2K
Yes 5.5¢No 94.5¢
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Price

FROG CHECK

Spread1.0¢bid 5¢ / ask 6¢
Taker fee$3.76on $100 · politics rate 0.04 · makers $0
Maker rewardsMin 200 shquotes within 3.5¢ of mid qualify
DisputeNo proposalUMA bond $500 · reward $5
Liquidity$47.2K24h vol $1.1K

Cost to fill (buy Yes, walking the live ask book)

Swipe for slippage, fee, and whether the book fills.

SpendSharesAvg priceSlippageEst. taker feeBook
$1001,6676¢+0.00¢$3.76fills
$1,00014,1847.1¢+1.05¢$37.13fills
$10,00039,15126¢+19.54¢$213.31fills

Order book Yes · latest

12¢3,000
11¢2,109
10¢3,549
9¢860
8¢3,231
7¢4,923
6¢4,937
spread 1.0¢ · mid 5.5¢
5¢1,778
4¢5,200
3¢18,736
2¢137,034
1¢126,434

Market read

Yes is 5.5¢. No is 94.5¢. No large print for this market is in the latest refresh. How it resolves is in the rules text below, from Polymarket.

OutcomePrice
Yes5.5¢Trade on Polymarket
No94.5¢Trade on Polymarket

Both links open this event. PolyFrog does not send a separate outcome order.

Rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Mitch McConnell formally announces an intention to step down or otherwise vacates his U.S. Senate seat before his current term is scheduled to end (January 3, 2027, 11:59 PM ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” An announcement will qualify only if it indicates that McConnell will leave office prior to the scheduled end of his term. Statements reaffirming an existing plan to retire at the end of his term will not qualify. The primary resolution sources will be official statements from Mitch McConnell, his office or representatives, and/or official communications from the U.S. Senate or government.

UMA status: no proposal.

Related markets

This event has one listed market.

Big trades here sizes only

No large prints for this market in the latest refresh.