PolyFrogPOLYFROG.
Alerts
CultureResolved

Will MrBeast's next video get less than 30 million views on day 1?

Ends · 24h vol $3.7K · liquidity $1.2K
Yes 1.4¢No 98.6¢
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Price

FROG CHECK

Spread2.2¢bid 0.1¢ / ask 2.3¢
Taker fee$0.00fees off on this market · makers $0
Maker rewardsMin 100 shquotes within 4.5¢ of mid qualify
DisputeNo proposalUMA bond $500 · reward $5
Liquidity$1.2K24h vol $3.7K

Cost to fill (buy Yes, walking the live ask book)

Swipe for slippage, fee, and whether the book fills.

SpendSharesAvg priceSlippageEst. taker feeBook
$10074313¢+11.15¢$0.00fills
$1,0001,98750¢+48.03¢$0.00fills
$10,00011,14190¢+87.46¢$0.00fills

Order book Yes · latest

16¢7
12¢35
5¢100
3.7¢200
3.6¢100
2.4¢73
2.3¢47
spread 2.2¢ · mid 1.2¢
0.1¢2,177

Market read

Yes is 1.4¢. No is 98.6¢. No large print for this market is in the latest refresh. How it resolves is in the rules text below, from Polymarket.

OutcomePrice
Yes1.4¢Trade on Polymarket
No98.6¢Trade on Polymarket

Both links open this event. PolyFrog does not send a separate outcome order.

Rules

This market will resolve according to the number of views the next YouTube video posted by MrBeast gets in the first 24 hours after being posted. This market may not resolve until the 24 hours are complete, regardless of whether a strike is reached earlier. If MrBeast does not post a YouTube video by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the resolution source is not available at the end of the specified duration, this market will resolve according to most recent number of views available before the end of the specified duration. The resolution source for this market is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video. Note: This market refers to MrBeast's next video to be posted. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.

UMA status: no proposal.

Related markets

Big trades here sizes only

No large prints for this market in the latest refresh.