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Politics

Will Phumeza Mangcu be the next mayor of Tshwane?

Ends · 24h vol $0 · liquidity $13.2K
Yes 9.8¢No 90.3¢
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Price Yes

Price history is unavailable for this market right now.

FROG CHECK

Spread2.1¢bid 8.7¢ / ask 11¢
Taker fee$3.35on $100 · politics rate 0.04 · makers $0
Maker rewardsMin 20 shquotes within 6.5¢ of mid qualify
DisputeNo proposalUMA bond $500 · reward $5
Liquidity$13.2K24h vol $0

Cost to fill (buy Yes, walking the live ask book)

Swipe for slippage, fee, and whether the book fills.

SpendSharesAvg priceSlippageEst. taker feeBook
$10075913¢+2.37¢$3.35fills
$1,0002,27244¢+33.21¢$17.69fills
$10,00013,34575¢+64.13¢$84.80fills

Order book Yes · latest

49¢250
35¢20
13¢400
12¢20
12¢20
11¢20
11¢265
spread 2.1¢ · mid 9.8¢
8.7¢20
8.6¢31
8.4¢224
7.7¢20
7¢20
1.3¢14
1.2¢240

Market read

Yes is 9.8¢. No is 90.3¢. No large print for this market is in the latest refresh. How it resolves is in the rules text below, from Polymarket.

OutcomePrice
Yes9.8¢Trade on Polymarket
No90.3¢Trade on Polymarket

Both links open this event. PolyFrog does not send a separate outcome order.

Rules

Municipal elections are currently scheduled to be held in South Africa on November 4, 2026. Tshwane’s mayor will be elected by the newly constituted council at its inaugural meeting, which is expected to be held within 14 days of the municipal election, by November 18, 2026. This market will resolve to the first individual who officially assumes the role of Mayor of Tshwane following the 2026 South African municipal elections. A qualifying individual must be elected mayor by the Tshwane City Council. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of South Africa, including the Electoral Commission of South Africa (https://elections.org.za); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Resolution source: https://elections.org.za

UMA status: no proposal.

Related markets

Big trades here sizes only

No large prints for this market in the latest refresh.