Politics

Will Santiago Abascal be the next Prime Minister of Spain?

Ends Mar 31 · 24h vol $2.1K · liquidity $49.8K

Yes 2.3¢No 97.7¢

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Price Yes

Price history is unavailable for this market right now.

FROG CHECK

Spread0.2¢bid 2.2¢ / ask 2.4¢

Taker fee$3.87on $100 · politics rate 0.04 · makers $0

Maker rewardsMin 20 shquotes within 6.5¢ of mid qualify

DisputeNo proposalUMA bond $500 · reward $5

Liquidity$49.8K24h vol $2.1K

Cost to fill (buy Yes, walking the live ask book)

Swipe for slippage, fee, and whether the book fills.

Spend	Shares	Avg price	Slippage	Est. taker fee	Book
$100	3,273	3.1¢	+0.66¢	$3.87	fills
$1,000	12,361	8.1¢	+5.69¢	$35.65	fills
$10,000	35,009	29¢	+26.16¢	$240.08	fills

Order book Yes · latest

4.2¢400

3.4¢1,271

3.3¢52

3.1¢402

2.7¢95

2.5¢105

2.4¢1,067

spread 0.2¢ · mid 2.3¢

2.2¢356

1.9¢107

1.8¢222

1.7¢1,000

1.5¢220

1.4¢1,072

1.3¢1,000

Market read

Yes is 2.3¢. No is 97.7¢. No large print for this market is in the latest refresh. How it resolves is in the rules text below, from Polymarket.

Outcome	Price
Yes	2.3¢	Trade on Polymarket
No	97.7¢	Trade on Polymarket

Both links open this event. PolyFrog does not send a separate outcome order.

Rules

This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Spain by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must receive a vote of confidence from the Congress of Deputies and be formally sworn-in, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

UMA status: no proposal.