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Politics

Will Sergio Massa win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?

Ends · 24h vol $3.6K · liquidity $41.6K
Yes 15¢No 85¢
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Price

FROG CHECK

Spread0.1¢bid 15¢ / ask 15¢
Taker fee$3.40on $100 · politics rate 0.04 · makers $0
Maker rewardsMin 60 shquotes within 6.5¢ of mid qualify
DisputeNo proposalUMA bond $500 · reward $5
Liquidity$41.6K24h vol $3.6K

Cost to fill (buy Yes, walking the live ask book)

Swipe for slippage, fee, and whether the book fills.

SpendSharesAvg priceSlippageEst. taker feeBook
$10066215¢+0.00¢$3.40fills
$1,0006,48015¢+0.33¢$33.82fills
$10,00028,47535¢+20.02¢$232.97fills

Order book Yes · latest

16¢1,040
16¢1,145
16¢440
16¢373
15¢60
15¢264
15¢3,576
spread 0.1¢ · mid 15¢
15¢6,966
15¢189
15¢8
15¢60
15¢396
14¢60
14¢440

Market read

Yes is 15¢. No is 85¢. No large print for this market is in the latest refresh. How it resolves is in the rules text below, from Polymarket.

OutcomePrice
Yes15¢Trade on Polymarket
No85¢Trade on Polymarket

Both links open this event. PolyFrog does not send a separate outcome order.

Rules

A presidential election scheduled to be held in Argentina on October 24, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Argentinian Presidential election. This market includes any potential second round. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by Argentina government sources, including the Cámara Nacional Electoral (https://www.electoral.gob.ar/nuevo/index.php) and the Dirección Nacional Electoral (https://www.argentina.gob.ar/dine).

Resolution source: https://www.electoral.gob.ar/nuevo/index.php

UMA status: no proposal.

Related markets

Big trades here sizes only

No large prints for this market in the latest refresh.