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Will SpaceXAI be the second-best AI Agent Lab at the end of October 2026?

Ends · 24h vol $196 · liquidity $1.0K
Yes 0.1¢No 100.0¢
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Price Yes

Price history is unavailable for this market right now.

FROG CHECK

Spread—bid — / ask 0.1¢
Taker fee$2.87on $100 · tech rate 0.04 · makers $0
Maker rewardsMin 20 shquotes within 6.5¢ of mid qualify
DisputeNo proposalUMA bond $500 · reward $5
Liquidity$1.0K24h vol $196

Cost to fill (buy Yes, walking the live ask book)

Swipe for slippage, fee, and whether the book fills.

SpendSharesAvg priceSlippageEst. taker feeBook
$10094911¢+10.44¢$2.87fills
$1,0001,92152¢+51.95¢$5.04fills
$10,00011,03590.6¢+90.52¢$9.47fills

Order book Yes · latest

4.9¢10
2¢25
1.2¢156
1¢19
0.9¢150
0.5¢39
0.1¢120
spread — · mid 0.1¢

Market read

Yes is 0.1¢. No is 100.0¢. No large print for this market is in the latest refresh. How it resolves is in the rules text below, from Polymarket.

OutcomePrice
Yes0.1¢Trade on Polymarket
No100.0¢Trade on Polymarket

Both links open this event. PolyFrog does not send a separate outcome order.

Rules

This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Labs" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market. Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score. AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".

Resolution source: https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent

UMA status: no proposal.

Related markets

Big trades here sizes only

No large prints for this market in the latest refresh.