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Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026?

Ends · 24h vol $449 · liquidity $7.2K
Yes 53¢No 48¢
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Price Yes

Price history is unavailable for this market right now.

FROG CHECK

Spread3.0¢bid 51¢ / ask 54¢
Taker fee$2.30on $100 · culture rate 0.05 · makers $0
Maker rewardsMin 50 shquotes within 4.5¢ of mid qualify
DisputeNo proposalUMA bond $500 · reward $5
Liquidity$7.2K24h vol $449

Cost to fill (buy Yes, walking the live ask book)

Swipe for slippage, fee, and whether the book fills.

SpendSharesAvg priceSlippageEst. taker feeBook
$10018554¢+0.00¢$2.30fills
$1,0001,84054¢+0.36¢$22.82fills
$10,00016,49761¢+6.62¢$189.56fills

Order book Yes · latest

60¢654
59¢50
58¢5,027
57¢1,181
56¢1,057
55¢3,415
54¢1,176
spread 3.0¢ · mid 53¢
51¢60
50¢513
23¢20
22¢50
21¢20
20¢150
18¢119

Market read

Yes is 53¢. No is 48¢. No large print for this market is in the latest refresh. How it resolves is in the rules text below, from Polymarket.

OutcomePrice
Yes53¢Trade on Polymarket
No48¢Trade on Polymarket

Both links open this event. PolyFrog does not send a separate outcome order.

Rules

This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses the second-most domestically on its opening weekend among all movies in 2026. The "Weekend Box Office Performance" table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/movies/year/2026 will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend are final (i.e. not studio estimates). This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses the second-most on its 3-day domestic opening weekend among all movies in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The named movies will be primarily ranked by domestic opening weekend gross. If two or more movies are tied on domestic opening weekend gross, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the movies' listed titles. This market will resolve to the movie that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc. Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's 3-day opening weekend (Friday, Saturday, Sunday), regardless of whether the movie has a 4 or 5-day opening weekend. If another movie's opening weekend box office performance surpasses the 2nd-place ranking after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No". If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.

Resolution source: https://www.the-numbers.com/movies/year/2026

UMA status: no proposal.

Related markets

Big trades here sizes only

No large prints for this market in the latest refresh.