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Will Tesla perform another live stunt with the Roadster by December 31, 2026?

Ends · 24h vol $100 · liquidity $446
Yes 13¢No 87¢
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Price Yes

Price history is unavailable for this market right now.

FROG CHECK

Spread6.0¢bid 10¢ / ask 16¢
Taker fee$2.12on $100 · tech rate 0.04 · makers $0
Maker rewardsMin 20 shquotes within 6.5¢ of mid qualify
DisputeNo proposalUMA bond $500 · reward $3.5
Liquidity$44624h vol $100

Cost to fill (buy Yes, walking the live ask book)

Swipe for slippage, fee, and whether the book fills.

SpendSharesAvg priceSlippageEst. taker feeBook
$10027636¢+20.19¢$2.12fills
$1,0001,22382¢+65.74¢$3.40fills
$10,00010,31497¢+80.95¢$7.00fills

Order book Yes · latest

58¢50
29¢15
28¢11
20¢20
18¢20
17¢51
16¢40
spread 6.0¢ · mid 13¢
10¢173
8¢142
7¢500
5¢9
4¢270
3¢639
2¢938

Market read

Yes is 13¢. No is 87¢. No large print for this market is in the latest refresh. How it resolves is in the rules text below, from Polymarket.

OutcomePrice
Yes13¢Trade on Polymarket
No87¢Trade on Polymarket

Both links open this event. PolyFrog does not send a separate outcome order.

Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any live, in-person demonstration or event held by Tesla, a version of the Roadster (including a prototype or other non-final version) that is physically present performs any maneuver in which the vehicle is in motion and its cold gas thrusters, fan/suction system, or other similar onboard propulsion or ground-sealing system are activated and in use, in any capacity, between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The vehicle does not need to become airborne, reach any particular speed, or achieve any specific outcome for this market to resolve "Yes" — any live use of the cold gas thrusters, fan/suction system, or similar system while the car is moving (e.g., to jump, spin, hover, lift, drift, or otherwise maneuver) qualifies, regardless of how minor or brief. The primary resolution source for this market will be video of the qualifying event, including any official Tesla livestream. Official Tesla statements or a consensus of credible reporting may also be used to resolve this market, provided they establish that a live demonstration met the conditions above.

UMA status: no proposal.

Related markets

Big trades here sizes only

No large prints for this market in the latest refresh.