PoliticsResolved
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?
Ends · 24h vol $73.5K · liquidity $213.5K
Yes 99.3¢No 0.7¢
Price
FROG CHECK
Spread0.2¢bid 99.2¢ / ask 99.4¢
Taker fee$0.02on $100 · politics rate 0.04 · makers $0
Maker rewardsMin 20 shquotes within 4.5¢ of mid qualify
DisputeNo proposalUMA bond $500 · reward $5
Liquidity$213.5K24h vol $73.5K
Cost to fill (buy Yes, walking the live ask book)
Swipe for slippage, fee, and whether the book fills.
| Spend | Shares | Avg price | Slippage | Est. taker fee | Book |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $100 | 101 | 99.5¢ | +0.08¢ | $0.02 | fills |
| $1,000 | 1,005 | 99.5¢ | +0.10¢ | $0.20 | fills |
| $10,000 | 10,050 | 99.5¢ | +0.10¢ | $2.00 | fills |
Order book Yes · latest
99.9¢19,646
99.8¢9,807
99.7¢18,939
99.6¢347
99.5¢12,054
99.4¢20
spread 0.2¢ · mid 99.3¢
99.2¢1,320
99.1¢1,600
99¢6,569
98.9¢12,366
98.8¢10,000
98.7¢31,417
98.6¢33,616
Market read
Yes is 99.3¢. No is 0.7¢. No large print for this market is in the latest refresh. How it resolves is in the rules text below, from Polymarket.
| Outcome | Price | |
|---|---|---|
| Yes | 99.3¢ | Trade on Polymarket |
| No | 0.7¢ | Trade on Polymarket |
Both links open this event. PolyFrog does not send a separate outcome order.
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the 2026 US Midterm Elections happen on November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
UMA status: no proposal.
Related markets
This event has one listed market.
Big trades here sizes only
No large prints for this market in the latest refresh.