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Politics

Will the Democrats win Tarrant County in the Texas Senate race in 2026?

Ends · 24h vol $354 · liquidity $20.7K
Yes 96¢No 4¢
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Price Yes

Price history is unavailable for this market right now.

FROG CHECK

Spread1.5¢bid 95.2¢ / ask 96.7¢
Taker fee$0.09on $100 · politics rate 0.04 · makers $0
Maker rewardsMin 20 shquotes within 4.5¢ of mid qualify
DisputeNo proposalUMA bond $500 · reward $5
Liquidity$20.7K24h vol $354

Cost to fill (buy Yes, walking the live ask book)

Swipe for slippage, fee, and whether the book fills.

SpendSharesAvg priceSlippageEst. taker feeBook
$10010297.6¢+0.92¢$0.09fills
$1,0001,00699.4¢+2.71¢$0.23fills
$10,0001,95799.6¢+2.95¢$0.27partial

Order book Yes · latest

99.6¢98
99.5¢78
99.4¢65
99¢54
98.9¢49
98.2¢55
96.7¢42
spread 1.5¢ · mid 96¢
95.2¢10
94.5¢40
94¢91
93.9¢43
93.7¢42
93.2¢58
91.1¢150

Market read

Yes is 96¢. No is 4¢. No large print for this market is in the latest refresh. How it resolves is in the rules text below, from Polymarket.

OutcomePrice
Yes96¢Trade on Polymarket
No4¢Trade on Polymarket

Both links open this event. PolyFrog does not send a separate outcome order.

Rules

This market will resolve according to the party nominee or independent candidate that receives the most valid votes from Tarrant County in the general election for United States Senator from Texas, which is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026. The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party. If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other." This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Texas, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Tarrant County.

UMA status: no proposal.

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Big trades here sizes only

No large prints for this market in the latest refresh.