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Economics

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2027 meeting?

Ends · 24h vol $273 · liquidity $7.0K
Yes 14¢No 87¢
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Price Yes

Price history is unavailable for this market right now.

FROG CHECK

Spread3.0¢bid 12¢ / ask 15¢
Taker fee$4.22on $100 · economics rate 0.05 · makers $0
Maker rewardsMin 50 shquotes within 4.5¢ of mid qualify
DisputeNo proposalUMA bond $500 · reward $5
Liquidity$7.0K24h vol $273

Cost to fill (buy Yes, walking the live ask book)

Swipe for slippage, fee, and whether the book fills.

SpendSharesAvg priceSlippageEst. taker feeBook
$10064116¢+0.61¢$4.22fills
$1,0005,57118¢+2.95¢$40.70fills
$10,00016,43561¢+45.85¢$86.64fills

Order book Yes · latest

30¢1,000
28¢360
24¢84
18¢1,555
17¢1,555
16¢1,663
15¢250
spread 3.0¢ · mid 14¢
12¢459
11¢966
10¢1,200
4¢300
3¢507
2¢2,602
1¢10,232

Market read

Yes is 14¢. No is 87¢. No large print for this market is in the latest refresh. How it resolves is in the rules text below, from Polymarket.

OutcomePrice
Yes14¢Trade on Polymarket
No87¢Trade on Polymarket

Both links open this event. PolyFrog does not send a separate outcome order.

Rules

The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's April 2027 meeting. If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps) The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled to conclude on April 28, 2027 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm. This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their April meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.

Resolution source: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm

UMA status: no proposal.

Related markets

Big trades here sizes only

No large prints for this market in the latest refresh.